It’s more than just soccer, the women’s international friendly of June 27, 2025 is “Canada vs Costa Rica” at Toronto’s BMO Field. Inclusion and diversity are the themes of the match playing for the Canadian Pride celebrations, which are annually hosted by Canada Soccer, and provide fans with a contest between two nations at different stages of development. Canada is placed at 7th in the world and as such comes in as raging hot favorites, and Costa Rica is ranked a paltry 43rd, needing experience and rhythm before their next competitive fixtures.
The match has already drawn attention on Pinnacle and other betting Canada platforms, where early odds reflect Canada’s dominant status and offer valuable insight for fans and punters alike.
Recent Form and Past Matchups
Canada is in good condition with six wins, three draws, and a 10- friendly defeat to just one loss going into this game against Costa Rica. They held off Costa Rica 1-0, in extra time during the quarterfinals of the 2024 Concacaf W Gold Cup, on a last-minute strike by Evelyne Viens. To sum it all up, Canadians have been historical winners in this bulk, as they have won all the last five meetings, scoring fifteen goals to only one against them.
Contrary to Costa Rica, who’s having a bad streak at the moment, going winless in their last 10 friendlies (0 wins, three draws, seven losses,) scoring has been poor, and defensively they’ve struggled It’s all set to be a pretty daunting challenge for them in Toronto.
Statistical Overview and Why Canada Is Favored
Here are some of the most recent performance metric snapshots for the two teams; they justify Canada’s preference in most betting markets:
|
Metric |
Canada Women |
Costa Rica Women |
|
Wins in last 10 friendlies |
6 |
0 |
|
Avg. goals scored per game |
1.9 |
0.6 |
|
Avg. goals conceded per game |
0.6 |
1.4 |
|
Clean sheets (last 10 games) |
4 |
1 |
|
Head-to-head (last 5 matches) |
5 wins |
0 wins |
|
Total goals in last 5 H2H |
15 |
1 |
These numbers tell a story quite clearly, Canada is much more the side that is consistent in all departments of the field, scores more, concedes less, and holds a comparably great record vis-a-vis Costa Rica.
Betting Markets to Watch
Here are the markets to consider according to statistical and historical trends from the smart betting perspective:
Top Picks
- Winner: Canada
- Odds are very low, but it’s safe, given the huge disparity in rankings and form.
- Correct Score: Canada 2-0 or 3-0
- These relate to recent Head to Head (H2H) results and the kind of defensive solidity that Canada have kept in many matches.
- Over/Under Goals
- Over 1.5 Goals: Most likely
- Over 2.5 Goals Provided more value, but was a bit too risky Net
- Both Teams To Score: NO
- Canada Clean Sheet: No
- Due to its location, Costa Rica is a strong option.
Intangibles (None)
Canada will also unveil their limited-edition ‘Pride’ kits during the game as they have continued a tradition of marking LGBTQ+ pride during their home summer fixtures.
Coach Casey Stoney was quoted as saying that “It’s a celebration but a key part of our preparation for taking on the USA on July 2 in Washington D.C.”
Canada has all the assets not to face any huge risks and although outsiders give a slim chance to Costa Rica, they will get the most out of the match in trying to build team chemistry in a new tactical approach and very little thing relative to results actually depends.
A Confident Pick in Favor of Canada
Everything, the rankings and recent form compared to historical head-to-head results, says it’s going to be an easy one for Canada. Those looking for some value on the betting board may want to explore total goals markets or correct score bets, while the more risk-averse punter will stick to straightforward outcomes with the Canadian win and clean sheet options.
Match Winner: Canada
Correct Score: 2-0 or 3-0
Over 1.5 Goals: Safe
BTTS (No): Strong potential